Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.223665 0.258407 0.298089 0.347052 0.406233 0.475944 0.565003
2025-07-20 0.177390 0.223888 0.283207 0.365747 0.479749 0.634906 0.867863
2025-07-27 0.147287 0.198276 0.268901 0.376739 0.542584 0.797560 1.239668
2025-08-03 0.127541 0.180623 0.259135 0.388542 0.606638 0.980166 1.720679
2025-08-10 0.111555 0.164512 0.247111 0.392169 0.656507 1.154536 2.272065
2025-08-17 0.098926 0.150921 0.235747 0.393113 0.700442 1.332211 2.927573
2025-08-24 0.088357 0.138734 0.224148 0.390370 0.735676 1.504614 3.678206
2025-08-31 0.079239 0.127522 0.212154 0.383905 0.760960 1.664516 4.508534
2025-09-07 0.073848 0.121908 0.209111 0.394098 0.825084 1.945071 5.934067
2025-09-14 0.067120 0.112991 0.198484 0.386268 0.845083 2.119332 7.162362
2025-09-21 0.062575 0.107496 0.193584 0.389739 0.894067 2.400609 9.124202
2025-09-28 0.058100 0.101584 0.186983 0.388010 0.929180 2.658325 11.320389
2025-10-05 0.055027 0.098115 0.185080 0.397470 1.000260 3.085187 15.125038
2025-10-12 0.052276 0.094979 0.183469 0.407508 1.077693 3.591361 20.502509
2025-10-19 0.049708 0.091917 0.181583 0.416526 1.156115 4.163338 27.915911
2025-10-26 0.047605 0.089572 0.180957 0.428825 1.250962 4.890433 39.265285
2025-11-02 0.045141 0.086196 0.177496 0.432610 1.318362 5.550689 52.945399
2025-11-09 0.042742 0.082716 0.173333 0.433585 1.376673 6.225592 70.771535
2025-11-16 0.040340 0.078994 0.168124 0.430467 1.418742 6.857685 92.648776
2025-11-23 0.037938 0.075057 0.161925 0.423175 1.441852 7.405210 118.072589
2025-11-30 0.036674 0.073572 0.161688 0.434660 1.551473 8.692771 178.552674
2025-12-07 0.034560 0.069946 0.155548 0.425834 1.566841 9.305747 229.070671
2025-12-14 0.033179 0.067911 0.153329 0.429746 1.645329 10.564977 336.776876